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2022-01-16 22:04:59

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A. 柳夜熙的新伙伴上线，元宇宙人物为何能够爆火

引言：提到虚拟现实很多人都想起了元宇宙 ，而且每一个人都希望能够在网络世界中创造一个专属于自己的虚拟形象和虚拟人物，这样的话就能够更好的进行互联互通。而柳夜熙的新伙伴上线了，元宇宙人物为何能够爆火？

年轻人总是喜欢被新鲜的事情吸引，而且冲浪已经成为了年轻人必备的事情。所以在这个过程中，互联网世界的发展也越来越变得扑朔迷离。但是身为普通人而言，互联网世界的发展或许离普通人的世界还是太远的，还是要珍惜现在的生活，珍惜现实世界中的人。

B. “柳夜熙”为何会突然在网络上走红

近日，一个虚拟人物柳夜熙在网络上突然爆火，他自称是一位虚拟世界的美妆博主，在抖音上发布第一条视频后涨粉300多万。因为新概念“元宇宙”的出现，柳夜熙网络上前所未有的创新作品，因而受到很多人的喜欢。

其实小男孩看到的是，很多在空中飘着的怪物，并且其中有一只大怪物向前冲过来，柳夜熙拿着笔轻轻一挥，怪物就被收入法器中。他们所看到的世界就是虚拟世界，也就是我们前面提到的元世界，这个话题最近在网上很火，网友们也都持不同的意见。

不仅如此，还有很多美妆博主开始仿起了柳夜熙的妆，不得不说，柳夜熙的长相十分俊俏，一张鹅蛋脸，帅气中还带着些许温柔，整体妆容体现的是中国风元素。

C. 虚拟美妆博主柳夜熙一夜走红，粉丝为何会喜欢它

就在这两天，有一个虚拟美妆博主柳夜熙 突然之间就爆火。那为什么会有这么多的粉丝喜欢这个柳夜熙 呢？也并不是粉丝喜欢柳夜熙 ，而是因为柳夜熙 被定义为了一个元宇宙的人物，这是一个新兴的概念，所以就让人们觉得很有新鲜感。

并不是一个真实存在的人物，而是由某个公司通过元宇宙的噱头，制造出来的一个元宇宙人物。他主要火起来的是某一个视频，那一个视频当中可以看到他整个动画的制作是非常精美的，就像是在看一场电影一样。我当时也看到了这个视频，我为他点赞的理由主要就是因为他这一个视频制作的比较精美，内容比较有趣。

大家看完，记得点赞+加关注+收藏哦。

D. 柳夜熙在短视频平台一夜爆红，她的原型是谁

柳夜熙并没有原型，它只是一个虚拟的形象，创壹视频的特效公司并没有介绍柳夜熙的原型是谁，但是丝毫不影响大家对于这个虚拟人物的喜欢，柳夜熙在短视频平台几乎是一夜爆红，随后平台就出现了各种柳夜熙仿妆照，该公司的负责人梁子康介绍虚拟人柳夜熙的诞生和元宇宙有很大的关系，其实公司一直以来都在做这方面的研究和探索，也可以说柳夜熙的爆红并不是偶然，这个虚拟人物之所以可以获得大家的喜欢就是因为不管是颜值还是妆容都符合大家的审美标准，而且还透露着古风的韵味。

柳夜熙只是虚拟人物

现在网路上非常流行虚拟明星，虚拟明星也是当下的趋势和热点，柳夜熙也只是虚拟人物，她之所以可以获得大家的喜欢，就是因为她符合大家的审美。

E. 柳夜熙新短片预告更新，一条视频圈粉580万，是如何做到的

因为它处在风口之上，选取了近期最为火热的话题元宇宙。

随着短视频平台的爆火，越来越多出色的视频博主开始出现在了我们的身边。然而现如今的短视频平台上面大多都是由真人所创造的视频账号，但是没想到大家竟然在平台上面刷到了一个虚拟人物。这个人物的名字叫做柳夜熙，他是一个通过虚拟现实合成的人物，但是不管是从妆容的打扮还是巨型的构造，又或者是后期的剪辑等多方面来说，都非常的精致，甚至仅仅发布了一条视频，就已经在全网吸粉580万。更何况这个数字还在不停的往上涨，他之所以能够吸粉这么多，就是因为踩在了风口之上。

能够出现这样出色的视频方向是一件很正确的事情，能够让越来越多优秀的视频创作者出现在我们的身边。只有这样才能让短视频领域变得越来越繁荣，我们也期待在接下来的时间当中，柳夜熙能够持续给我们带来更多精彩的视频。

F. 元宇宙游戏毁了多少孩子

大家好，我是很帅的狐狸

今天我准备来聊聊

元宇宙

最近这个概念很火——

facebook改名Meta迎接元宇宙，抖音的元宇宙up主「柳夜熙」凭借两个视频收获了200万粉丝，甚至罗永浩老师都提到了，自己下一个创业项目将会是元宇宙……

那么问题就来了——

元宇宙到底是什么？

后续它会怎么发展？最终形态是怎样的？

为什么说目前元宇宙最大的风险是政策风险？

为什么我们说它有可能会毁了这个世界？

我们有办法避免它对人类的摧毁吗？

这篇文章会回答上面的这些问题，希望可以升级你对世界的认知，辅助你更好地预测人类社会的发展趋势，找到在后续每个阶段最关键的技术与应用。

先来看看第一个问题：元宇宙是什么？

「元宇宙」这个概念来自科幻小说《雪崩》，简单来说就是一个虚拟世界。

在这个世界里头，用户可以连接万物，并且可以做到很多物理世界里无法实现的操作。

在科幻作品里头，元宇宙会更丰富一些： 比如像《头号玩家》里头那样，使用VR眼镜来与其他个体互动——

不过，元宇宙并不会单单停留在「炒作」层面上，它有极强的可拓展性。

未来的元宇宙，可能是像电影《超能查派》或《超验骇客》一样，我们可以把自己的意识上传到网络上，到时我们可以脱离肉身完全生活在元宇宙里。

大家听到这么赛博朋克的概念通常会特别兴奋，但我想把大家稍微往现实拉回来一些：

因为再往后推演了几步后我们发现，等发展到第4阶段，元宇宙很可能会让人类固步自封，甚至有可能毁了这个世界。

接下来我们可以一起来看看后续元宇宙的发展推演。

目前看来，我们还处于第一阶段——

阶段 1

虚拟元宇宙 ️

元宇宙其实是在复刻人类在现实世界的感官感受。

最早因为设备的限制 （只有电脑和手机） ，所以我们只能复刻一部分视觉和听觉的体验。

像是我以前详细介绍过的游戏 ，在那个元宇宙里一切皆有可能：玩家可以开银行、炒地皮、开会……这个游戏甚至还成功地预言了2008年的金融危机，感兴趣的可以翻看我之前的文章。

德国华人玩家Chung Anshe在现实生活中是个老师，在游戏中却靠着炒卖地皮赚了上百万美金，其虚拟形象甚至登上了《财富》和《商业周刊》杂志的封面。

图/商业周刊

还有后来流行的Roblox、我的世界、摩尔庄园、动森等等……

就像前面说的，所有角色扮演类游戏都可以说是「元宇宙」的前身。

而这几年，技术的发展让我们可以更好地复刻现实世界的体验——

基于上面提到的这些技术，我们可以更快地接收、处理、传输、输出感官信息。

我们来重点说一下负责信息输出的VR终端，它们的作用是复刻五感的体验——

目前我们对视觉和听觉的模拟已经相对成熟了。

触觉方面，目前有类似《头号玩家》里头的全身触觉体验套件Teslasuit，可以通过电流刺激来模拟触觉。

图/Teslasuit

嗅觉方面，有个叫OhRoma的产品可以模拟战争中的硝烟味、僵尸扑过来时的腐烂味、女生靠近时的体香 （其实…这个产品是色情网站设计的） 等等。

图/Techcrunch

随着化学和材料学等学科的发展，理论上未来也可以合成相应的气体固体，模拟更多嗅觉体验，甚至味觉。

到时候，我们会进入一个几乎可以复原现实世界一切感官体验的元宇宙。

不过，毕竟一切只是「模拟」，还是很难完美复刻所有感官体验。

这时候，我们会尝试进入「阶段2」。

阶段 2

脑接元宇宙

之前我在科普 的时候就提到过「缸中之脑」实验。

人类的感受其实都是大脑的「骗局」：而既然大脑信号都是电信号，我们完全可以把大脑信号转化为计算机可以读懂的语言，反过来也可以把计算机信号转化为大脑可以感知的电信号。

这样我们靠一段代码，就可以模拟吃饭的感受。

像是马斯克这几年在研究的脑机接口技术，就在努力攻克这些课题。

图/Neuralink

随着技术发展，未来我们或许完全不需要通过VR眼镜等外接设备，也可以直接通过电信号完美复刻现实世界带来的感官体验。

不过呢，还是有问题存在：我们的吃喝拉撒还是得在现实世界完成，人类无法跟现实世界完全脱节。

一种解决方案是类似电影《黑客帝国》的场景：所有人类的肉体被妥善保存，通过营养液维持生命机能——

图/《黑客帝国》剧照

这背后也有「两颗药丸」的伦理问题：「真实」到底重不重要？

Anyway，即使伦理问题解决了，所有人都愿意选择在元宇宙里生活和工作了，仍然有问题无法解决：衰老与死亡。

这时候，人类会尝试进入下一个阶段的元宇宙——

阶段 3

意识元宇宙

随着全脑仿真技术与人工智能技术的发展，未来如果我们可以像《超能查派》或《超验骇客》一样，直接把人类意识上载到服务器上，同时让意识具备自我计算机能，那么我们可以脱离肉身完全活在元宇宙里，彻底地进化为硅基生物。

而且我们的意识还可以无限复制，传到全世界的各个服务器上。

这个哲学上的讨论很多，今天就不展开了。

感兴趣的话，可以去看看WaitButWhy的文章《What Makes You You?》。

Anyway，假设意识本身都是「我」，那么在意识可以备份的前提下，只要不存在全球性灾难事件引发全网断网、数据库全毁这样的极端情形，理论上我们都可以实现「永生」。

不过这时候还是有问题：人们会变得不再快乐。

这一点可能有点违反直觉，我来解释解释——

大家之所以喜欢元宇宙的概念，是因为它能摆脱现实世界的诸多限制。

比如空间限制，我们可以在元宇宙里实现瞬间移动。

我们也可以脱离时间限制，很多动作可以有即时反馈，压根都不需要等待。

如果我们的意识可以上传到元宇宙，我们甚至可以通过提高计算速度，来改变我们对时间流逝的感知——就像刘慈欣在长篇处女作《中国2185》里头所描述的，「虚拟人类」在两个小时里度过了600年的演化。

还有就是规律限制——在元宇宙里我们能做到很多违背物理学生物学规律的事情，比如你可以飞可以漂浮，就算被车撞了被剑刺了也不会真正意义上的「死亡」。

图/Mark Zuckerberg via FB

而更重要的，在元宇宙里，理论上你也没有资源限制——

你可以拥有无限多的资源，你可以拥有无数套房、无数辆豪车、无数个名牌包包……

只要计算资源允许，甚至每个人都可以拥有自己的元宇宙，成为自己宇宙的「神」。

那么问题就来了——

既然几乎没有限制，为啥还会「不再快乐」呢？

这是因为，快乐的来源，在于「预期差」。

几乎什么都做得到，要什么就有什么，你就不会有「求之而不得」的感觉。

就算你得到了一切，都会觉得这是理所当然的。

而且意识被上载还有一个后果：我们的计算速度和准确性变强了，出现「意外」的概率很小。

换句话说，我们的「预期」变得极其准确，这也是导致没有预期差的原因。

意识到这一点的人会开始进入下一个阶段——

阶段 4

孪生元宇宙

为了制造预期差，我们会开始某种程度的自我设限，复刻真实世界中的各种规律：物理学、经济学…创造出一个现实世界的镜像，也就是我们经常会听到的「数字孪生」。

最简单的做法是加入随机数。

就像玩游戏抽道具，把把欧皇并不会让人沉迷，有了随机变量自然会有意外，会有预期差。

当然，我们也可以自我设限，让资源不再无限 （不过这也失去了元宇宙的大部分魅力） 。

比如说，我们可以利用我以前科普过的 ，让元宇宙里头的虚拟物品具备稀缺属性。

这么做，本质上就是让资源不再可以随随便便地无限复制，那么现实世界中的经济规律也可以在元宇宙里头被复刻。

当然，这些手段其实在更早的阶段就会开始发生，像是NFT在这几年就被热炒过几波。

不过在这个阶段还是有两个致命的问题，这两个问题甚至有可能让人类不再拥有创造力。

第一个问题是时间资源无法受限。

上载意识后，人类实现了「永生」。

虽然我们会自我设限，让经济规律重现，但我们不大可能会让时间资源被压缩。

毕竟从伦理道德来看，剥夺一个人的剩余时间，相当于主动「杀死」他。

一旦人类拥有近乎无限的生命，他们会做什么？

奈飞《爱死机》第二季的《Pop Squad》 （人口警察） 给出了答案——人类将会丧失创新意愿。

剧集里的一个女性角色，她是个歌手，过去20年一直在磨炼某一段独唱。

图/爱死机2

因为她拥有了无限的时间，已经试错了足够多次，「从0到1」甚至「从1到100」都搭好了，所以会把更多的精力放在「从100到101」的层面。

顺带一提，这时候「繁衍后代」也会变得没那么重要，你甚至可以跟NPC （人工智能） 生下后代，但很可能只是为了体验当父母的乐趣。

Anyway，人类创新的步伐确实会因此放缓。

当然你也可以说，虽然是放缓，但还是在进步的；而且时间资源近乎无限，那长远来看，人类还是在发展的。

这时候我们还会面对另一个问题——信息茧房。

人类知识的发展，要有信息的输入才能有智慧的输出。

而在元宇宙里头，信息的输入源会被局限在元宇宙 （外加地球） 本身，这会限制人类知识边界的拓展，会形成一个信息茧房。

当然，自我演化本身也可以有输出：因为我们对原始数据的处理会得到新的信息，会产生新的认知与洞见。

但这些都只是人类自身活动而产生的信息。

更可怕的是，一旦算力足够多，每个人都可以在意识里加载所有人类已知的知识，那么每个个体的输入相同、处理机制也相同 （因为处理机制由输入的信息决定） ，这样每个个体的输出也会相同。

这会诞生很多科幻小说里提到的「统一意识体」。

多样性的美将不复存在。

那么问题来了——如何破局呢？

人类在彻底理解了元宇宙与地球之后，还是有拓展知识边界的需求的。

这时候，我们需要打破信息茧房，从地球外部去找输入。

就像我在新加坡的ArtScience Musuem （艺术科学博物馆） 里头看到的这么一句话——

图/狐狸

翻译过来就是「科学是宇宙想告知人类的，而艺术则是人类想告知宇宙的。」

所以过往一直有所谓「飞船派」和「元宇宙派」的争论——

到底人类的未来，是走向外星殖民？还是成为地下运转的服务器？

如果是后者，那么一个流星过来，人类很可能会就此湮灭。

这是包括刘慈欣老师在内的诸多科幻小说家、未来学家所担心的；也是我开头提到的「元宇宙可能会毁掉这个世界」的底层逻辑。

无独有偶，人类登月的第二人Buzz Aldrin也吐槽过：「你承诺过给我们火星殖民，现在我得到的却只有Facebook。」

图/麻省理工科技评论

那么问题就来了——

你到底会选择加入「飞船派」呢？还是「元宇宙派」呢？

最后我想说，这两个派别其实并不矛盾。

这就像是投资和消费的关系一样。

像费雪说的，「投资是时间维度上的平衡消费」，或者说，投资其实就是未来的消费。

一样的，「飞船派」是在拓宽信息源，而「元宇宙派」则是在更好地利用和处理现有的信息。

两者并不矛盾，可以两者兼有。

只是，我们不能把所有的钱都花在消费上，还是该拿出一部分来投资。

照例一张图总结一下——

P.S.总有一天，疫情终将过去。疫情前和疫情后的生活会有什么变化，后疫情时代又有什么投资机会呢？找天给大家聊聊不晓得你们会感兴趣不，感兴趣的小伙伴点个在看呗。

「Greed is good.」

「很帅的投资客」的所有内容皆仅以传递知识与金融教育为目的，不构成任何投资建议。一切请以最新文章为准。

⚠️ 风险提示：监管风险。

NFT《》

区块链《》

智能城市《》

计算机视觉《》

人工智能《》

本文分析师/狐狸

图片与编辑/狐狸

Icon/freepik from flaticon

主创/肖璟，@狐狸君raphael，曾供职于麦肯锡金融机构组，也在 Google 和 VC 打过杂。华尔街见闻、36氪、新浪财经、南方周末、Linkedin等媒体专栏作者，著有畅销书《风口上的猪》《无现金时代》。

G. “柳夜熙”走红的背后体现出了什么

柳夜熙的走红意味着AI建模技术板块受到了高度重视，也表示了大众的审美正逐渐趋向于虚拟人物类长相。柳夜熙短短几分钟的视频播出之后迅速在网络上走红，除了因为短片的形式和内容格外吸睛之外，还得益于全方面技术打造的柳夜熙AI智能特别逼真，让大众真假难辨，迎合了当下人们对虚拟人物的喜爱。

一、引来无数网红争相模仿

柳夜熙一脸奇特的妆容和完美打造的三庭五眼，一出场就立刻吸引了大众的全部注意力。而时下正是大家追求AI建模脸最风靡的时刻，比如韩国aespa组合刚出道就由公司设置了自己的虚拟人物形象，当时就能看出大众对虚拟人物的支持是非常大的。柳夜熙的视频火了之后，一众美妆博主纷纷化起了同款柳夜熙妆容，为柳夜熙造势了一波，她的视频也已经有了近亿的播放量。

柳夜熙的出现并不意外，这是顺应时代变化的产物，期待后续柳夜熙还有更多新奇的地方能让大家更喜欢元宇宙的存在。

H. “虚拟人物”柳夜熙为什么能够爆火

“虚拟人物”柳夜熙能够爆红很大程度上是因为“元宇宙”这个概念引起的热潮。要知道最近在Facebook创始人的推波助澜下，“元宇宙”已经成为了主流的发展方向。现在不但马化腾对它感兴趣，连罗永浩也想加入这个浪潮。

请相信，我们很快将会见证一场网红圈的变革，未来短视频的发展将会更加多元化。而且个人感觉虚拟技术也会因此更加成熟和精进的。

I. 柳夜熙再次带火了元宇宙，到底有没有投资价值

最近柳夜熙的形象再次火爆了全网，真的是让人大开眼界，尤其是元宇宙的概念更是让人们感到无比震惊，如果能够真的实现元宇宙这个概念，对社会的发展来说可能将是一次变革，尤其涉及到虚拟现实的概念，我们是否能够把元宇宙当做我们的第二世界也未可知。它的投资价值真的是不好说，如果从长远来看，真的是非常有价值的，但是这个时间的长短将决定它的投资是否会发生翻转，大家要知道，人生最长不过一百年，能够在这一百年内实现这个目标真的是不一定。

还是那句话，投资价值肯定是有的，但是只适合那些大公司的老板，因为这里面需要的资金链是在是太大了，就这一个概念，就涉及到了很多领域的知识，这不是一个人能够完成的，虽然我非常看好这个，但是我要为自己说的话负责，是否有投资价值还是要大家自己分析和判断。

J. 柳夜熙视频圈粉580万，这位网红为何如此“豪横”

柳夜熙凭一条视频便火爆全网，很多网友都被她的视频内容和理念所吸引。那你知道这位网红为何会一夜而红吗？这背后有哪些原因呢？

柳夜熙视频圈粉580万，这位网红为何如此“豪横”？

柳夜熙的两分钟以其内容、图片、情节、特效、虚拟人与真人互动也是真实的，并且含有真实、充满奇异风格的故事，这是非常电影化的，让观众可以看到震撼内容的天花板。在她首次登台仅三天后，她就用一段视频征服了平台上的所有观众。

如今，视频内容已经愈发成熟了，观众的审美要求也提高了，期待今后的视频会更好。以柳夜熙为例，虚拟人、元宇宙甚至未来都会有新的出路，让我们有期待和期待，让影视行业和短视频行业的从业者看到巨大的希望和挑战。

A. Liu Yexi’s new partner is online, why the metaverse characters are so popular

Introduction: When virtual reality is mentioned, many people think of the metaverse, and everyone hopes You can create your own virtual image and virtual characters in the online world, so that you can better communicate with each other. And Liu Yexi’s new partner is online. Why are characters from the Yuan Universe so popular?

Young people always like to be attracted by new things, and surfing has become a must-have for young people. Therefore, in this process, the development of the Internet world has become increasingly complicated and confusing. But for ordinary people, the development of the Internet world may still be too far away from the world of ordinary people. We still need to cherish our current life and cherish the people in the real world.

B. Why did "Liu Yexi" suddenly become popular on the Internet?

Recently, a virtual character Liu Yexi suddenly became popular on the Internet. He claimed to be a virtual world A beauty blogger who gained more than 3 million followers after posting her first video on Douyin. Because of the emergence of the new concept "Metaverse", Liu Yeshi's unprecedented innovative works on the Internet have been loved by many people.

In fact, what the little boy saw was many monsters floating in the air, and one of them was a big monster rushing forward. Liu Yexi waved his pen gently , the monster is included in the magic weapon. The world they see is the virtual world, which is the metaworld we mentioned earlier. This topic has been very popular on the Internet recently, and netizens also hold different opinions.

Not only that, many beauty bloggers have begun to imitate Liu Yexi’s makeup. I have to say that Liu Yexi looks very handsome, with an oval face, and is handsome with a little gentleness. , the overall makeup reflects Chinese style elements.

C. The virtual beauty blogger Liu Yexi became popular overnight, why do fans like it?

Just in the past two days, a virtual beauty blogger Liu Yexi suddenly became famous. It exploded instantly. So why do so many fans like Liu Yexi? It’s not that fans like Liu Yeshi, but because Liu Yeshi is defined as a character in the metaverse. This is an emerging concept, so it makes people feel very fresh.

It is not a real character, but a metaverse character created by a certain company through the gimmick of the metaverse. He is mainly famous for a certain video. In that video, you can see that his entire animation is very exquisite, just like watching a movie. I also saw this video at that time. The main reason why I liked him was because his video was more beautifully produced and the content was more interesting.

After everyone has finished reading, remember to like + follow + collect.

D. Liu Yexi became famous overnight on the short video platform. Who is her prototype?

Liu Yexi does not have a prototype, it is just a virtual image, created by Chuangyi Video The special effects company did notThere was an introduction to who Liu Yexi's prototype was, but it did not affect everyone's love for this virtual character. Liu Yexi became famous almost overnight on the short video platform, and then various photos of Liu Yexi's makeup appeared on the platform. The person in charge of the company, Liang Zikang, said that the birth of the virtual person Liu Yexi has a lot to do with the Metaverse. In fact, the company has been doing research and exploration in this area. It can also be said that Liu Yexi’s popularity is not accidental. The reason why this virtual character is loved by everyone is because both appearance and makeup meet everyone's aesthetic standards, and it also reveals the charm of ancient style.

Liu Yexi is just a virtual character

Virtual celebrities are very popular on the Internet now. Virtual stars are also the current trend and hot spot. Liu Yexi is also just a virtual character. As a character, the reason why she can win everyone's love is because she conforms to everyone's aesthetics.

E. Liu Yexi’s new short film trailer has been updated. One video has 5.8 million fans. How did he do it?

Because it is on the forefront of the trend, it has chosen the metaverse, which is the hottest topic in recent times.

With the explosion of short video platforms, more and more outstanding video bloggers have begun to appear around us. However, most of today's short video platforms have video accounts created by real people, but I didn't expect that everyone would find a virtual character on the platform. The name of this character is Liu Yexi. He is a character synthesized through virtual reality, but whether it is from the makeup, the giant structure, or the later editing, he is very exquisite, even just After releasing a video, it has already attracted 5.8 million fans on the entire Internet. What's more, this number is still rising. The reason why he has been able to attract so many fans is because he has stepped on the trend.

It is the right thing to have such an excellent video direction, which will allow more and more excellent video creators to appear around us. Only in this way can the short video field become more and more prosperous, and we also look forward to Liu Yexi’s ability to continue to bring us more exciting videos in the coming time.

F. How many children have been ruined by the metaverse game

Hello everyone, I am a very handsome fox

I am going to talk today

This concept is very popular recently -

Facebook changed its name to Meta to welcome the Metaverse, and Douyin’s Metaverse up master "Liu Yexi" gained a lot of money with two videos 2 million fans, and even teacher Luo Yonghao mentioned that his next entrepreneurial project will be the Yuanverse...

Then the question arises——

What exactly is the Metaverse?

How will it develop in the future? What is the final form?

Why is it said that the biggest risk in the Metaverse at present is policy risk?

Why meThey said it might destroy the world?

Is there any way to avoid its destruction of humanity?

This article will answer the above questions. I hope it can upgrade your understanding of the world, help you better predict the development trends of human society, and find the best solutions for each subsequent stage. Key technologies and applications.

Let’s take a look at the first question: What is the Metaverse?

The concept of "Metaverse" comes from the science fiction novel "Snow Crash". Simply put, it is a virtual world.

In this world, users can connect everything and perform many operations that are impossible in the physical world.

In science fiction works, the metaverse will be richer: for example, like in "Ready Player One", VR glasses are used to interact with other individuals -

However, the metaverse is not It will not just stay at the "hype" level, it has strong scalability.

The metaverse of the future may be like the movie "Chappie" or "Transcendence". We can upload our consciousness to the Internet, and then we can live completely without the physical body. In the metaverse.

Everyone is usually very excited when hearing such a cyberpunk concept, but I want to bring everyone back to reality a little bit:

Because after a few steps of deduction, we It was found that when it reaches the fourth stage of development, the Metaverse is likely to make humans stagnate and even destroy the world.

Next we can take a look at the subsequent development of the Metaverse.

Currently, it seems that we are still in the first stage -

Phase 1

Virtual Metaverse️

The Metaverse is actually Replicating human sensory experiences in the real world.

At first, due to device limitations (only computers and mobile phones), we could only reproduce part of the visual and auditory experience.

Like the game I have introduced in detail before, everything is possible in that metaverse: players can open a bank, speculate in land, hold meetings... This game even successfully predicted the financial future in 2008. Crisis, if you are interested, you can read my previous articles.

Chung Anshe, a Chinese-German player, is a teacher in real life, but has made millions of dollars by speculating on real estate in the game. His avatar has even appeared in Fortune and Business Week. Magazine cover.

Picture/Business Weekly

There are also the later popular Roblox, Minecraft, Moore Manor, Animal Crossing, etc...

As mentioned before , all role-playing games can be said to be the predecessor of the "Metaverse".

In recent years, the development of technology has allowed us to better replicate the real-world experience——

Based on the technologies mentioned above, we can Receive, process, transmit, and output sensory information fasterinterest.

Let’s focus on the VR terminals responsible for information output. Their role is to reproduce the experience of the five senses——

At present, our simulation of vision and hearing has Relatively mature.

In terms of tactile sensation, there is currently a full-body tactile experience suite, Teslasuit, similar to that in "Ready Player One", which can simulate touch through electrical stimulation.

Picture/Teslasuit

In terms of smell, there is a product called OhRoma that can simulate the smell of gunpowder smoke in war, the rotten smell when zombies attack, and the body scent of girls when they approach (actually …This product is designed for pornographic websites) etc.

Picture/Techcrunch

With the development of disciplines such as chemistry and materials science, it is theoretically possible to synthesize corresponding gaseous solids in the future to simulate more olfactory experiences and even taste.

At that time, we will enter a metaverse that can restore almost all sensory experiences in the real world.

However, after all, everything is just a "simulation", and it is still difficult to perfectly reproduce all sensory experiences.

At this time, we will try to enter "Phase 2".

Phase 2

Brain Connected to the Metaverse

I have mentioned the "brain in a vat" experiment before when I popularized science.

Human feelings are actually "deceptions" of the brain: and since brain signals are all electrical signals, we can completely convert brain signals into a language that computers can understand, and conversely, we can also convert computer signals into Converted into electrical signals that the brain can perceive.

In this way, we can simulate the feeling of eating with a piece of code.

For example, the brain-computer interface technology that Musk has been researching in recent years is working hard to overcome these issues.

Picture/Neuralink

With the development of technology, in the future we may not need to use external devices such as VR glasses at all, but can also perfectly reproduce the senses brought by the real world directly through electrical signals. experience.

However, there is still a problem: our eating, drinking, and diarrhea still have to be completed in the real world, and humans cannot be completely disconnected from the real world.

One solution is a scene similar to the movie "The Matrix": all human flesh is properly preserved and life functions are maintained through nutrient solution -

Picture/"The Matrix" Stills

There is also the ethical issue of "two pills" behind this: Is "truth" important?

Anyway, even if the ethical issues are solved and everyone is willing to choose to live and work in the metaverse, there are still problems that cannot be solved: aging and death.

At this time, humans will try to enter the next stage of the metaverse -

Phase 3

The metaverse of consciousness

As With the development of whole-brain simulation technology and artificial intelligence technology, in the future if we can be like "Chappie"Or like "Transcendental Hacker", human consciousness is directly uploaded to the server, and at the same time, the consciousness is equipped with self-computing capabilities, then we can live completely in the metaverse without the physical body, and completely evolve into silicon-based creatures.

And our consciousness can be copied infinitely and spread to various servers around the world.

There are many philosophical discussions, so I won’t go into them today.

If you are interested, you can read WaitButWhy’s article "What Makes You You?".

Anyway, assuming that consciousness itself is "I", then on the premise that consciousness can be backed up, as long as there is no extreme situation such as a global disaster event causing the entire network to be disconnected and the database to be completely destroyed, in theory, We can all achieve "eternal life".

But there is still a problem: people will no longer be happy.

This may be a bit counterintuitive, let me explain -

The reason why everyone likes the concept of the metaverse is that it can get rid of many restrictions of the real world.

For example, due to space limitations, we can achieve instant movement in the metaverse.

We can also get rid of the time limit. Many actions can have immediate feedback, without waiting at all.

If our consciousness can be uploaded to the metaverse, we can even change our perception of the passage of time by increasing the calculation speed - just as Liu Cixin described in her debut novel "China 2185", "Virtual humans" spent 600 years of evolution in two hours.

There are also law restrictions - in the metaverse we can do many things that violate the laws of physics and biology. For example, you can fly or float, even if you are hit by a car or stabbed with a sword, you will not be able to do anything. Will "die" in the true sense.

Picture/Mark Zuckerberg via FB

And more importantly, in the metaverse, theoretically you have no resource limits -

You can have unlimited With so many resources, you can have countless suites, countless luxury cars, countless brand-name bags...

As long as the computing resources allow, everyone can even have their own metaverse and become the "" of their own universe" god".

Then the question comes -

Since there are almost no restrictions, why is it "no longer happy"?

This is because the source of happiness lies in the "expectation difference".

You can do almost anything, you can get whatever you want, and you won’t have the feeling of “not getting what you want.”

Even if you get everything, you will take it for granted.

And there is another consequence of uploading consciousness: our calculation speed and accuracy have become stronger, and the probability of "accidents" is very small.

In other words, our "expectations" have become extremely accurate, which is also the reason why there is no expectation difference.

AwarePeople at this point will begin to enter the next stage -

Stage 4

Twin Metaverse

In order to create an expectation difference, we will begin to a certain extent Set limits on yourself and replicate various laws in the real world: physics, economics... to create a mirror image of the real world, which is the "digital twin" we often hear.

The simplest way is to add random numbers.

Just like playing a game to draw props, playing European King will not make people addicted. With random variables, there will naturally be surprises and expected differences.

Of course, we can also set limits on ourselves so that resources are no longer unlimited (but this also loses most of the charm of the metaverse).

For example, we can use what I have popularized before to make the virtual items in the metaverse have scarcity attributes.

This essentially means that resources can no longer be copied casually and infinitely, so that the economic laws in the real world can also be replicated in the metaverse.

Of course, these methods will actually start to happen at an earlier stage. For example, NFT has been hyped several times in recent years.

However, there are still two fatal problems at this stage, which may even make humans no longer creative.

The first problem is that time resources cannot be limited.

After uploading consciousness, human beings have achieved "eternal life".

Although we will set limits on ourselves to allow economic laws to reappear, we are unlikely to allow time resources to be compressed.

After all, from an ethical point of view, depriving a person of his remaining time is equivalent to actively "killing" him.

What will humans do once they have near-infinite life?

"Pop Squad" (Population Police) in the second season of Netflix's "Love to Death" gives the answer-human beings will lose their will to innovate.

There is a female character in the series. She is a singer and has been practicing a certain solo for the past 20 years.

Picture/Love Death Machine 2

Because she has unlimited time and has tried and failed enough times, "from 0 to 1" or even "from 1 to 100" works. Okay, so I will focus more on the "from 100 to 101" level.

By the way, "reproducing offspring" will become less important at this time. You can even have offspring with NPC (artificial intelligence), but it is probably just to experience the fun of being a parent.

Anyway, the pace of human innovation will indeed slow down.

Of course, you can also say that although it is slowing down, it is still progressing; and time resources are almost unlimited, so in the long run, human beings are still developing.

At this time we will also face another problem - information cocoon room.

The development of human knowledge requires the input of information to produce the output of wisdom.

In the metaverse, the transmission of informationThe input source will be limited to the metaverse (plus the earth) itself, which will limit the expansion of the boundaries of human knowledge and form an information cocoon.

Of course, self-evolution itself can also have output: because our processing of original data will obtain new information and generate new cognitions and insights.

But these are only information generated by human activities.

What’s even more frightening is that once there is enough computing power, everyone can load all known human knowledge into their consciousness, then each individual’s input will be the same and the processing mechanism will be the same (because the processing mechanism is (determined by the input information), so that the output of each individual will be the same.

This will give birth to the "unified consciousness" mentioned in many science fiction novels.

The beauty of diversity will no longer exist.

Then the question is - how to break the situation?

After humans thoroughly understand the metaverse and the earth, they still have a need to expand the boundaries of knowledge.

At this time, we need to break the information cocoon and find input from outside the earth.

Just like this sentence I saw in the ArtScience Musuem (ArtScience Museum) in Singapore——

Picture/Fox

The translation is "Science is what the universe wants to tell humans, while art is what humans want to tell the universe."

So there has been a debate between the so-called "spaceship faction" and the "metaverse faction" in the past——< /p>

In the end, is the future of mankind heading toward alien colonization? Or will it become a server operating underground?

If it is the latter, then if a meteor comes over, human beings will probably be annihilated.

This is what many science fiction novelists and futurists, including Mr. Liu Cixin, are worried about; it is also the underlying logic of the "metaverse may destroy the world" I mentioned at the beginning.

Coincidentally, Buzz Aldrin, the second man to land on the moon, also complained: "You promised to colonize Mars for us, but now all I get is Facebook."

Picture / Ma Provincial Science and Technology Review

Then the question comes -

Would you choose to join the "Spaceship Faction"? Or is it the "Metaverse Sect"?

Finally, I want to say that these two factions are not actually contradictory.

This is like the relationship between investment and consumption.

As Fisher said, "Investment is balanced consumption in the time dimension." In other words, investment is actually future consumption.

Similarly, the "Spaceship Faction" is broadening the sources of information, while the "Metaverse Faction" is making better use of and processing existing information.

The two are not contradictory and can be both.

It’s just that we can’t spend all our money on consumption, we should still invest part of it.

As usual, I’ll summarize it with one picture——

P.S. There are alwaysOne day, the epidemic will finally pass. How will life change before and after the epidemic? What investment opportunities will there be in the post-epidemic era? I want to chat with you someday. I don’t know if you will be interested. If you are interested, please click and watch.

"Greed is good."

All content in "The Handsome Investor" is only for the purpose of imparting knowledge and financial education and does not constitute any investment advice. Please refer to the latest article for everything.

⚠️ Risk warning: Regulatory risks.

NFT《》

Blockchain《》

Smart City》

Computer Vision《》

Artificial Intelligence《》

Article Analyst/Fox

Pictures and Editor/Fox

Icon/freepik from flaticon

Main Creator/ Xiao Jing, @ Fox君raphael, once worked in McKinsey’s financial institutions group, and also worked as a freelancer at Google and VC. He is a columnist for Wall Street News, 36 Krypton, Sina Finance, Southern Weekend, Linkedin and other media. He is the author of the best-selling books "Pigs on the Wind" and "Cashless Era".

G. What’s behind the popularity of “Liu Yexi”

The popularity of Liu Yexi means that the AI ​​modeling technology sector has been highly valued, and it also expresses the public’s Aesthetics are gradually moving towards the human appearance of virtual characters. Liu Yexi's video quickly became popular on the Internet after it was broadcast in just a few minutes. In addition to the eye-catching form and content of the video, it also benefited from the fact that Liu Yeshi's AI intelligence created by all-round technology is particularly lifelike and has attracted the public's attention. It is difficult to distinguish between true and false, catering to people’s current love for virtual characters.

1. Attracting countless Internet celebrities to imitate

Liu Yexi’s unique makeup and perfectly crafted three courts and five eyes immediately attracted the attention of the public as soon as she appeared on the scene. attention. Nowadays, the pursuit of AI modeling faces is the most popular moment. For example, when the Korean group aespa debuted, the company set up their own avatars. At that time, it can be seen that the public's support for avatars was very large. After Liu Yexi's video went viral, many beauty bloggers put on the same makeup style as Liu Yexi's, creating a wave of momentum for Liu Yexi. Her video has already received nearly 100 million views.

The appearance of Liu Yexi is not unexpected. It is a product that adapts to the changes of the times. I hope that Liu Yeshi will have more novelties in the future to make everyone like the existence of the Metaverse even more.

H. Why the "virtual character" Liu Yexi became popular

The popularity of the "virtual character" Liu Yeshi was largely due to the concept of "metaverse" craze. You must know that recently, with the help of the founder of Facebook, the "Metaverse" has become a mainstream development direction.Now not only Ma Huateng is interested in it, but Luo Yonghao also wants to join this wave.

Please believe that we will soon witness a change in the Internet celebrity circle, and the development of short videos will be more diversified in the future. And I personally feel that virtual technology will become more mature and sophisticated as a result.

I. Liu Yexi once again made the Yuanverse popular. Is there any investment value?

Recently, Liu Yexi’s image has once again become popular on the entire Internet, which is really exciting. People are extremely shocked by their vision, especially the concept of the metaverse. If the concept of the metaverse can be truly realized, it may be a revolution for the development of society, especially when it comes to the concept of virtual reality. Can we put it into practice? It is also unknown whether the Metaverse is our second world. Its investment value is really hard to say. If you look at it in the long run, it is really valuable, but the length of this time will determine whether its investment will reverse. Everyone must know that the longest life span is only a hundred years. , it is really not certain that this goal can be achieved within this hundred years.

Again, the investment value is certainly there, but it is only suitable for the bosses of large companies, because the capital chain required is too large. This concept involves knowledge in many fields. This cannot be accomplished by one person. Although I am very optimistic about this, I have to be responsible for what I say. Whether it has investment value or not depends on everyone's own analysis and judgment.

J. Liu Yexi’s video has 5.8 million fans. Why is this internet celebrity so “arrogant”

Liu Yexi became popular all over the Internet with just one video, and many netizens were Captivated by her video content and ideas. So do you know why this internet celebrity became famous overnight? What are the reasons behind this?

Liu Yexi’s video has 5.8 million followers. Why is this internet celebrity so “arrogant”?

Liu Yexi's Two Minutes is also real with its content, pictures, plots, special effects, virtual people and real people interacting with each other, and it contains a real and strange story. It is very cinematic. oriented, allowing the audience to see the ceiling of shocking content. Just three days after her debut, she conquered the entire audience on the platform with a video.

Nowadays, video content has become more mature, and the audience’s aesthetic requirements have also improved. We expect that videos will be better in the future. Taking Liu Yexi as an example, virtual people, the metaverse and even the future will have new ways out, giving us expectations and expectations, and allowing practitioners in the film and television industry and short video industry to see huge hopes and challenges.